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Brazil’s Flavio Bolsonaro ties Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva in polls ahead of vote

A court crisis has handed the senator a potent rallying cry: the fate of the justice who oversaw the imprisonment of former President Jair Bolsonaro.

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- 1 min read
Brazil’s Flavio Bolsonaro ties Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva in polls ahead of vote

Brazilians attend a campaign rally in Rio de Janeiro on Monday. | AFP-JIJI

Sep 8, 2026

Flavio Bolsonaro pulled even with Brazilian President Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva in a new poll as the right-wing senator seizes on turmoil at Brazil’s Supreme Court to rally conservative voters.

Bolsonaro and Lula would each receive 41% of the vote in a runoff election next month, according to a Quaest survey published Monday. A week earlier, the pollster had Lula ahead by 1 percentage point.

Bolsonaro, 44, had been gaining momentum as corruption allegations involving one of Lula’s sons and a weakening economy weighed on the leftist president’s reelection bid. Now, a deepening crisis at the Supreme Court has handed him another potent rallying cry: the fate of Justice Alexandre de Moraes, who oversaw the case that sent former President Jair Bolsonaro to prison for attempting a coup.

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